Cartigliano vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
BEL
47%
22%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
TAM
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 0
TRE
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 1
TRE
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STG
0 - 0
TRE
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |