Ascona vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RUS
1 - 1
ASC
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
ZOF
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KUS
0 - 0
ASC
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GOL
4 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
GOL
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GOL
3 - 1
BUO
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ZOF
2 - 2
GOL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GOL
4 - 1
KUS
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |