Ascoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASC
63%
20%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ASC
4 - 1
MAT
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 1
ASC
9%
18%
73%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VIS
1 - 1
ASC
10%
18%
72%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
ASC
2 - 4
BEN
19%
25%
57%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 2
FAN
81%
15%
5%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 1
PES
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
PES
2 - 1
PRG
45%
23%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PRG
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |