Ascoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
ASC
3 - 1
PAD
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
PES
1 - 0
ASC
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
ASC
1 - 0
PAL
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
FIO
3 - 0
ANC
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
FIO
1 - 2
VNZ
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
ACI
0 - 0
FIO
14%
26%
59%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
FIO
2 - 0
RAV
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
MOD
0 - 1
FIO
15%
29%
56%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |