Ascoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
ASC
0 - 1
PRG
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
ASC
1 - 3
USC
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ACD
3 - 0
ASC
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ASC
1 - 1
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VNZ
1 - 3
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIS
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ACD
1 - 2
CRO
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |