SSC Bari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
4 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACI
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 1
CRO
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
17%
23%
61%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
RIM
1 - 0
PRG
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 0
ANC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |