SSC Bari vs Palermo FC analysis


70	ELO	78
-5.7%	Tilt	-4.3%
363º	General ELO ranking	299º
29º	Country ELO ranking	28º
ELO win probability

31.9%

SSC Bari

28.9%

Draw

39.3%

Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

31.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%

28.9%

Draw

0-0

10.9%

1-1

13.3%

2-2

4.1%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

<0%

0

28.9%

39.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-5%

+6%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SSC Bari

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
21 Sep. 2013	PES 0 - 1 BAR 47% 26% 27%	69	67	2
14 Sep. 2013	BAR 1 - 0 MOD 49% 26% 25%	69	66	3
08 Sep. 2013	SIE 3 - 2 BAR 62% 23% 15%	69	79	10
31 Aug. 2013	BAR 0 - 0 BRE 44% 27% 29%	69	71	2
23 Aug. 2013	REG 0 - 0 BAR 43% 28% 29%	69	69	0

Matches

Palermo FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Sep. 2013	SPE 1 - 0 PAL 26% 28% 46%	79	65	14	0
13 Sep. 2013	PAL 2 - 1 CES 73% 17% 10%	78	67	11	+1
08 Sep. 2013	PAD 0 - 3 PAL 26% 28% 45%	78	65	13	0
31 Aug. 2013	PAL 1 - 2 EMP 63% 21% 16%	79	74	5	-1
24 Aug. 2013	MOD 1 - 1 PAL 26% 28% 46%	79	65	14	0