UCL 1ª Fase - Group B Round 4

Arsenal vs Barcelona analysis

Arsenal Barcelona
89 ELO 91
-6.2% Tilt -15.4%
16º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.5%
Arsenal
25.8%
Draw
37.7%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.7%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Arsenal
Barcelona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 1999
ARS
Arsenal
4 - 1
Everton
EVE
68%
20%
13%
89 80 9 0
12 Oct. 1999
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
75%
17%
8%
89 64 25 0
03 Oct. 1999
WHU
West Ham
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
37%
28%
35%
89 83 6 0
29 Sep. 1999
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
72%
17%
11%
89 91 2 0
25 Sep. 1999
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Watford
WAT
74%
17%
9%
89 69 20 0

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 1999
NUM
Numancia
3 - 3
Barcelona
FCB
14%
21%
65%
91 73 18 0
13 Oct. 1999
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
65%
18%
17%
91 89 2 0
02 Oct. 1999
VAD
Real Valladolid
0 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
19%
23%
58%
91 82 9 0
29 Sep. 1999
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
72%
17%
11%
91 89 2 0
25 Sep. 1999
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Real Betis
BET
82%
12%
6%
91 84 7 0