Arminia Bielefeld vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
EIN
14%
19%
67%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
SCF
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAY
3 - 6
ARB
7%
14%
79%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 2
M05
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
HOF
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 2
FCU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUG
0 - 4
HOF
21%
21%
58%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 3
HOF
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |