Regionalliga Round 3

Arminia Bielefeld vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis

Arminia Bielefeld Schwarz-Weiss Essen
60 ELO 58
9.2% Tilt 7.6%
367º General ELO ranking 3002º
32º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
67.2%
Arminia Bielefeld
19.8%
Draw
13.1%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.1%
Win probability
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arminia Bielefeld
+35%
-3%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen

ELO progression

Arminia Bielefeld
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 1968
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
57%
23%
21%
61 61 0 0
04 Aug. 1968
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
4 - 0
Lüner
LSV
78%
14%
9%
60 51 9 +1
12 May. 1968
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
0 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
32%
26%
43%
60 51 9 0
05 May. 1968
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Westfalia Herne
WHE
84%
11%
5%
60 43 17 0
28 Apr. 1968
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
2 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
62%
21%
16%
61 68 7 -1

Matches

Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 1968
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
2 - 0
Neuss
NEU
65%
19%
15%
57 51 6 0
04 Aug. 1968
HAM
Hamborn
0 - 3
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
55%
24%
22%
56 53 3 +1
12 May. 1968
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
2 - 0
Neuss
NEU
61%
21%
19%
55 51 4 +1
05 May. 1968
EGE
Eintracht Gelsenkirchen
2 - 1
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
42%
26%
31%
56 47 9 -1
28 Apr. 1968
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
68%
18%
14%
56 48 8 0