Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
WUP
1 - 3
ARB
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
HAM
2 - 2
ARB
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ARB
3 - 0
EID
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
EGE
2 - 1
ARB
47%
23%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
SHE
3 - 2
ROT
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ROT
1 - 0
WHE
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ROT
1 - 0
WUP
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROT
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SWE
2 - 2
ROT
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |