Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
RTV
0 - 0
ARB
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
ARB
2 - 0
UNT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
AAA
3 - 2
ARB
24%
25%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2001 |
ARB
4 - 1
FCU
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SGF
0 - 1
ARB
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2001 |
M05
1 - 1
EIN
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SAA
0 - 1
M05
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
M05
4 - 1
SCH
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
WAL
2 - 4
M05
51%
23%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
M05
2 - 1
REU
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |