Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 0
COT
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
STU
2 - 0
ARB
16%
23%
61%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 2
ROS
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 1
ARB
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 1
BRE
24%
22%
54%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HOF
1 - 4
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BYM
0 - 2
MON
86%
10%
3%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
HAN
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
M05
2 - 2
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
OFC
0 - 2
MON
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |