Arlesey Town vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ARL
0 - 4
MAR
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
ARL
2 - 1
HIS
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARL
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 1
ARL
46%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ARL
1 - 1
EGH
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AFD
1 - 2
UXB
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
AFD
3 - 3
BAR
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
AFD
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
AFD
1 - 3
FAR
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
POT
1 - 2
AFD
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |