Aris Limassol vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
4º
3º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
ARI
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AEL
0 - 0
ARI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 4
PAO
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ANO
0 - 2
ARI
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
APO
1 - 0
ANO
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 2
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NEA
1 - 3
APO
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
APO
4 - 0
OMO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DOX
0 - 1
APO
17%
26%
58%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |