Arg. Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 1
ARQ
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 1
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
ARQ
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARQ
2 - 2
AND
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 1
JJU
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VSC
3 - 1
JJU
24%
27%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 0
VSC
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VSC
0 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
VSC
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
VSC
0 - 1
PAT
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |