Argentino Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARM
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 0
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
ARM
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ARM
1 - 0
RPI
49%
26%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
LAM
2 - 3
ARM
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
PUE
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LAF
1 - 1
ITA
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
LUJ
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
CLA
48%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |