Aretxabaleta vs Hondarribia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
ATX
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATX
1 - 1
ALÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 2
ATX
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BTG
2 - 2
ATX
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ATX
2 - 0
OIA
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hondarribia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HON
3 - 3
REA
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BTG
1 - 0
HON
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HON
2 - 1
RSO
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 0
TOL
16%
22%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
REA
3 - 1
HON
76%
16%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |