Arcos CF vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 2
ARC
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
4 - 0
REC
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
3 - 1
ARC
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
4 - 0
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
JER
0 - 0
ARC
28%
26%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
CCF
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
EGA
3 - 0
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
ESP
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |