Arbroath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
RAI
3 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ROS
2 - 1
ARB
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
STI
1 - 2
ARB
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
6 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 1
RAI
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CWB
0 - 1
HOM
10%
18%
72%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
1 - 0
ICT
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |