Apertura Venezuela . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Aragua FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
MET
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 2
ARA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZAM
28%
28%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
LLA
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LAL
1 - 1
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
ARG
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |