APR FC vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EFC
0 - 2
APR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
APR
6 - 2
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
ETI
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 0
APR
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
APR
3 - 1
ISO
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
ASK
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 0
AMA
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
ASK
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 2
ASK
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |