APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PNU
1 - 0
API
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 1
API
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BON
1 - 5
API
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
PNU
3 - 4
API
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
API
3 - 4
SYD
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
SUT
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 2
MAC
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 1
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |