APEP vs Olympos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ERM
3 - 2
APE
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
APE
2 - 2
MEA
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
AYI
1 - 3
APE
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ONI
1 - 1
APE
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
APE
1 - 0
PAF
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olympos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
OLY
0 - 5
PAF
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ASI
1 - 2
OLY
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
OLY
0 - 1
OMO
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
DIG
4 - 0
OLY
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
OLY
0 - 1
ATR
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |