Antofagasta vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
16º
8º
25
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 48 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 44 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 37 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 19 |
16º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 32% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 28.5% |
|
Next round
|
55.5% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
IQU
3 - 0
ANT
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 2
IQU
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANT
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 1
DLS
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
DLS
1 - 0
DEP
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 1
DLS
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DLS
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 0
DLS
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |