Champions League . Last 16
Global 12-0
Anderlecht vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
DCM
0 - 0
AND
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
AND
2 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
AND
3 - 0
TIL
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SDL
0 - 1
AND
35%
25%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
AND
2 - 0
MOL
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1965 |
DER
5 - 1
LYN
38%
22%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1965 |
LYN
5 - 3
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
DER
0 - 2
STB
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
STB
3 - 0
DER
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |