Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 22

Ammerthal vs 1.FC Geesdorf analysis

Ammerthal 1.FC Geesdorf
26 ELO 17
16.3% Tilt 9%
6694º General ELO ranking 40687º
256º Country ELO ranking 2055º
ELO win probability
79.8%
Ammerthal
11.8%
Draw
8.4%
1.FC Geesdorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
Ammerthal
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.4%
Win probability
1.FC Geesdorf
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Ammerthal
Their league position
1.FC Geesdorf
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
12
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ammerthal
1.FC Geesdorf
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Ammerthal
1.FC Geesdorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ammerthal
Ammerthal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 0
Ammerthal
AMM
66%
19%
15%
25 38 13 0
12 Nov. 2022
SVD
SV Donaustauf
3 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
57%
20%
23%
26 31 5 -1
06 Nov. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
0 - 0
ASV Cham
ASV
62%
19%
20%
26 23 3 0
29 Oct. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 1
Weiden
WEI
60%
19%
21%
25 22 3 +1
21 Oct. 2022
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
6 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
68%
17%
15%
25 33 8 0

Matches

1.FC Geesdorf
1.FC Geesdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2022
FEU
Feucht SC
3 - 2
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
65%
18%
17%
17 22 5 0
12 Nov. 2022
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
0 - 4
TSV Abtswind
TSV
25%
21%
54%
18 26 8 -1
05 Nov. 2022
BAY
Bayern Hof
4 - 0
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
43%
22%
36%
19 18 1 -1
30 Oct. 2022
DJJ
DJK Bamberg
5 - 0
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
47%
21%
32%
20 20 0 -1
22 Oct. 2022
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
0 - 5
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
30%
21%
48%
21 27 6 -1
X