América Sub 20 vs Toluca Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 1
AME
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
CAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
LEO
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TIJ
4 - 0
AME
35%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Toluca Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 1
AME
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
MEX
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
0 - 0
MEX
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 0
JUA
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |