Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. Last 16
Global 3-1
América RN vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
ARN
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 0
APA
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
APA
0 - 0
ARN
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
ARN
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 2
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
ARN
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
CEI
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ANA
2 - 0
CEI
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CEI
3 - 0
SIN
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |