América de Cali vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2001 |
AME
3 - 0
TAC
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
AME
2 - 3
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2000 |
AME
2 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
SPC
0 - 2
AME
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
SLO
1 - 0
PEÑ
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 1
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |