Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-3
América de Cali vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 0
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
AME
4 - 1
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
EQU
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 0
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
BOT
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 2
SCI
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 5
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |