Amara vs Afumati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
83.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
10º
10º
45
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 1
GLO
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RGD
3 - 2
AMA
75%
14%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 2
BOR
28%
20%
52%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
4 - 0
AMA
69%
16%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
FAC
17%
19%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Afumati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 4
AFU
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFU
3 - 1
CSG
90%
8%
3%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AFU
1 - 0
VOL
90%
8%
3%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 3
AFU
8%
15%
76%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
AFU
0 - 3
RAP
13%
18%
69%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |