Altamira vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UAT
2 - 1
ALT
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
LOB
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALT
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 1
DUR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
ALT
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
REB
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |