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Tercera Division. G4, Matchday 31

Aloña Mendi vs Balmaseda FC analysis

Aloña Mendi Balmaseda FC
23 ELO 24
-22% Tilt 20%
13760º General ELO ranking 13816º
669º Country ELO ranking 715º
ELO win probability
31.4%
Aloña Mendi
28%
Draw
40.5%
Balmaseda FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
Aloña Mendi
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.5%
Win probability
Balmaseda FC
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aloña Mendi
-2%
-4%
Balmaseda FC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Aurrera Vitoria
55
55
100%
SCD Durango
54
54
100%
CD Hernani
49
49
100%
Zalla
46
46
100%
Balmaseda FC
44
44
100%
CD Getxo
42
42
50%
CD Basconia
42
42
50%
CD Elgoibar
41
41
100%
SD Urola
38
38
50%
SD Zamudio
10º
38
38
10º
50%
SD Amorebieta
11º
37
37
11º
33%
Mondragón
12º
37
37
13º
33%
Santurtzi
13º
37
37
12º
33%
Aurrera KE
14º
34
34
14º
50%
Aloña Mendi
15º
34
34
15º
50%
Alavés B
16º
32
32
16º
100%
CD Touring
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Tolosa CF
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Arenas de Getxo
19º
26
26
19º
100%
CD Mungia
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aloña Mendi
Balmaseda FC
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Aloña Mendi
ALÑ
Balmaseda FC
BFC
Santurtzi
SNT
CD Hernani
HER
Aurrera KE
AUR
Tolosa CF
TOL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aloña Mendi
Aloña Mendi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALÑ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 1995
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
1 - 1
Aloña Mendi
ALÑ
44%
27%
29%
300 298 -2 0
26 Mar. 1995
ALÑ
Aloña Mendi
1 - 1
CD Elgoibar
ELG
44%
27%
29%
300 300 0 0
19 Mar. 1995
CDT
CD Touring
3 - 1
Aloña Mendi
ALÑ
41%
28%
31%
302 178 -124 -3
12 Mar. 1995
ALÑ
Aloña Mendi
0 - 4
SD Urola
URO
44%
27%
29%
305 290 15 -3
05 Mar. 1995
ALA
Alavés B
1 - 2
Aloña Mendi
ALÑ
46%
27%
27%
304 294 -10 +2

Matches

Balmaseda FC
Balmaseda FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO BFC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 1995
BFC
Balmaseda FC
2 - 0
Tolosa CF
TOL
49%
26%
25%
304 195 109 +2
26 Mar. 1995
HER
CD Hernani
3 - 0
Balmaseda FC
BFC
46%
27%
27%
307 278 -29 -3
19 Mar. 1995
BFC
Balmaseda FC
2 - 1
CD Mungia
CDM
44%
27%
29%
305 303 2 +2
12 Mar. 1995
BFC
Balmaseda FC
2 - 0
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
44%
27%
29%
303 302 1 +2
05 Mar. 1995
ELG
CD Elgoibar
3 - 2
Balmaseda FC
BFC
44%
27%
29%
304 297 -7 -2