Almería vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 2
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
LEV
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
2 - 2
RSO
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OSA
0 - 0
ALM
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 3
VIL
31%
26%
44%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
GET
0 - 2
MAL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 2
SEV
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ZAR
3 - 5
MAL
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 3
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |