Almería vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALM
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
SLA
0 - 1
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 1
CAD
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SLA
2 - 0
ALM
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
3 - 1
UDL
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 3
MAL
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 1
CIU
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 2
NUM
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 1
MAL
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |