Almería vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 2
ALM
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ALM
1 - 1
CCF
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALM
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALM
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
MAL
3 - 0
BET
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CAD
1 - 0
MAL
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
MAL
1 - 1
CCF
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAL
27%
31%
42%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |