Almería vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MLL
2 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 1
UDL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALM
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
SEV
11%
21%
68%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
UDL
62%
24%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
OVI
3 - 1
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
ESP
21%
27%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 2
LUG
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDT
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |