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Second Division. Matchday 27

Almería Lugo
58 ELO 54
29% Tilt 6%
562º General ELO ranking 770º
33º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Almería
20.7%
Draw
17.7%
Lugo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
Almería
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
Lugo
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almería
+22%
-11%
Lugo

Basic stats

71
29
POS
10
14
SOT
3
7
COR
4
1
GF
1
4
GC
58
54
ELO
2.1
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Almería
Their league position
Lugo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
11º
47
21º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Espanyol
82
82
50%
Mallorca
82
82
50%
Leganés
73
73
50%
Almería
73
73
50%
Girona
71
71
100%
Rayo Vallecano
67
67
100%
Real Sporting
65
65
100%
Ponferradina
57
57
100%
Las Palmas
56
56
100%
Mirandés
10º
54
54
10º
50%
Fuenlabrada
11º
54
54
11º
50%
Málaga
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Real Oviedo
13º
52
52
14º
50%
Tenerife
14º
52
52
13º
50%
Real Zaragoza
15º
50
50
15º
100%
FC Cartagena
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Alcorcón
17º
48
48
17º
100%
Lugo
18º
47
47
18º
100%
Sabadell
19º
46
46
19º
100%
UD Logroñés
20º
44
44
20º
100%
CD Castellón
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Albacete
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Almería
Lugo
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Almería
ALM
Lugo
LUG
Girona
GIR
Fuenlabrada
FUE
Las Palmas
UDL
Alcorcón
ALC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almería
Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
ALM
Almería
4 - 1
Lugo
LUG
52%
25%
22%
1304 1109 195 +9
21 Feb. 2021
MLL
Mallorca
2 - 0
Almería
ALM
57%
23%
20%
1310 1699 389 -6
17 Feb. 2021
LEG
Leganés
2 - 1
Almería
ALM
51%
25%
24%
1315 1521 206 -5
14 Feb. 2021
ALM
Almería
3 - 1
Las Palmas
UDL
42%
28%
31%
1304 1502 -198 +10
06 Feb. 2021
FUE
Fuenlabrada
1 - 1
Almería
ALM
40%
28%
32%
1305 1041 -264 -1

Matches

Lugo
Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
ALM
Almería
4 - 1
Lugo
LUG
52%
25%
22%
1109 1304 195 -9
21 Feb. 2021
LUG
Lugo
1 - 1
UD Logroñés
UDL
44%
27%
29%
1109 1288 -179 0
15 Feb. 2021
ROV
Real Oviedo
3 - 1
Lugo
LUG
49%
26%
25%
1117 1174 57 -8
08 Feb. 2021
LUG
Lugo
1 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
35%
27%
38%
1115 1783 -668 +2
01 Feb. 2021
LEG
Leganés
3 - 2
Lugo
LUG
58%
24%
19%
1119 1500 381 -4