Almería vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MLL
2 - 0
ALM
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALM
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
SEV
10%
21%
69%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
UDL
62%
24%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
OVI
3 - 1
LUG
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
ESP
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 2
LUG
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDT
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |