Alloa Athletic vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 0
DUN
52%
22%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 3
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ELG
1 - 3
LIV
26%
22%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BER
3 - 2
LIV
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 3
RAI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 2
LIV
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |