Alianza vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 4
ALI
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 2
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JOC
1 - 0
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 5
ALI
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
0 - 0
JOC
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
3 - 1
FAS
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
ONC
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
FIR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 0
ONC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |