Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 0
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
SBO
2 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 3
SBO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 2
SPC
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPC
4 - 1
TOT
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
3 - 1
SPC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |