Alfold vs Newhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
81.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 0
ALF
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALF
7 - 3
RFC
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BEX
4 - 1
ALF
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
LOX
2 - 2
ALF
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PEA
4 - 0
ALF
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Newhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
6 - 1
AUC
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BEX
2 - 0
NEW
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -3 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LCO
0 - 3
NEW
20%
19%
60%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
7 - 0
NEW
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -4 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIN
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |