Alecrim vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
ALE
57%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
ALE
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 5
POT
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
ASS
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
POT
1 - 2
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |