Alcoyano vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
69.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
ORI
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
RMA
2%
13%
85%
|
48 | 92 | 44 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
ALC
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 2
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
HUE
8%
18%
74%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
ATH
5 - 1
GET
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
IBI
1 - 2
ATH
10%
20%
69%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATH
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATH
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 3
FCB
15%
21%
64%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |