Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 1-0
Deportivo Alavés vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAS
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CAD
1 - 1
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALM
64%
23%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
POL
1 - 1
ALA
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALA
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 1
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 0
SDL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 2
OSA
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |