Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
2 - 2
ALN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1999 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
ALN
4 - 1
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALN
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALN
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
NAJ
1 - 3
ALS
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALS
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1999 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALH
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |