Al-Ain vs Al Dhafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
10º
2º
12
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
AJM
1 - 1
AIN
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 3
ALK
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
AIN
0 - 2
ALF
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 1
SHA
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AJM
0 - 4
AIN
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Al Dhafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 1
ALN
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 0
KAZ
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 1
ALU
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALD
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 1
SAD
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |