Al-Ahly vs Al-Masry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 3
ALA
42%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
PHA
71%
20%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 0
ALA
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MIS
0 - 1
ALA
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
GOU
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
GEI
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ENP
1 - 1
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
SHD
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 4
ALM
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |