Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 3
AJA
14%
22%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
FCR
4 - 1
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
RJC
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
UTR
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
ADO
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |