Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
16%
21%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCH
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
FEY
21%
22%
58%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |